Top Trends for Real Estate and REITs in 2022 and Beyond (2023)

DEFINITION

The FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Index is a market capitalization weighted index designed to reflect the stock performance of companies engaged in the North American, European and Asian real estate markets. The performance of the Index is listed in U.S. dollars and assumes reinvestment of dividends. The index is unmanaged and does not include any expenses, fees or sales charges. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.

The FTSE NAREIT All Equity REITs Index is a free-float adjusted, market capitalization-weighted index of U.S. equity REITs. Constituents of the index include all tax-qualified REITs with more than 50 percent of total assets in qualifying real estate assets other than mortgages secured by real property.

The FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Extended Index represents the extension of real estate property sectors (e.g. Infrastructure and Timber) and additional securities beyond what is currently eligible for the FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Index based on membership in the FTSE Nareit All Equity REITs Index

The CPI Year-over-Year Index measures year-over-year changes in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), a measure that examines the weighted average of prices of a basket of consumer goods and services, such as transportation, food and medical care. The CPI is calculated by taking price changes for each item in the predetermined basket of goods and averaging them; the goods are weighted according to their importance. Changes in CPI are used to assess price changes associated with the cost of living.

The Atlanta Fed’s Wage Growth Tracker (“WGTROVER”) is a measure of the nominal wage growth of individuals. It is constructed using microdata from the Current Population Survey (CPS), and is the median percent change in the hourly wage of individuals observed 12 months apart.

The S&P 500® Index measures the performance of the large cap segment of the U.S. equities market, covering approximately 75% of the U.S. equities market. The Index includes 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy.

The Russell 2000® Index is an index that measures the performance of the 2,000 smallest companies in the Russell 3000 Index.

The MSCI World Index is a free float adjusted market capitalization weighted index that is designed to measure the global equity market performance of developed markets. The term “free float” represents the portion of shares outstanding that are deemed to be available for purchase in the public equity markets by investors. The performance of the Index is listed in U.S. dollars and assumes reinvestment of net dividends.

The Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index provides a broad-based measure of the global investment grade fixed-rate debt markets.

The Bloomberg Barclays Global High Yield Total Return Index provides a broad-based measure of the global high-yield fixed income markets. It is comprised of the Bloomberg Barclays US High Yield, Pan-European High Yield, and Emerging Markets (EM) Hard Currency High Yield Indices.

The MSCI Emerging Markets Index (MSCI EM) is a free float-adjusted market capitalization weighted index that is designed to measure equity market performance of emerging markets.

(Video) 5 Top REITs For 2022

The Bloomberg Barclays US Treasury Inflation-Linked Bond Index measures the performance of the US Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) market. Federal Reserve holdings of US TIPS are not index eligible and are excluded from the face amount outstanding of each bond in the index. The US TIPS Index is a subset and the largest component of the Global Inflation-Linked Bond Index.

The indices do not include any expenses, fees or sales charges, which would lower performance. The indices are unmanaged and should not be considered an investment. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.

Yield, or Current Yield is a measure that looks at the current price of an income-generating security (e.g. a bond) or asset instead of its face value and represents the return an investor would expect if he or she purchased the security or asset and held it for a year. Calculated by dividing the Annual Cash Inflows / Market Price.

Dispersion measures the range of potential outcomes of investments based on historical volatility or returns.

A Constant Maturity Treasury (CMT) is the theoretical value of a U.S. Treasury that is based on recent values of auctioned U.S. Treasuries. The value is obtained by the U.S. Treasury on a daily basis through interpolation of the Treasury yield curve which, in turn, is based on closing bid-yields of actively-traded Treasury securities. It is calculated using the daily yield curve of U.S. Treasury securities.

IMPORTANT INFORMATION

Date of Data: November 30, 2021 unless otherwise noted.

There is no guarantee that any investment strategy will work under all market conditions, and each investor should evaluate their ability to invest for the long-term, especially during periods of downturn in the market.

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The views and opinions and/or analysis expressed are those of the author or the investment team as of the date of preparation of this material and are subject to change at any time without notice due to market or economic conditions and may not necessarily come to pass. Furthermore, the views will not be updated or otherwise revised to reflect information that subsequently becomes available or circumstances existing, or changes occurring, after the date of publication. The views expressed do not reflect the opinions of all investment personnel at Morgan Stanley Investment Management (MSIM) and its subsidiaries and affiliates (collectively “the Firm”), and may not be reflected in all the strategies and products that the Firm offers.

Forecasts and/or estimates provided herein are subject to change and may not actually come to pass. Information regarding expected market returns and market outlooks is based on the research, analysis and opinions of the authors or the investment team. These conclusions are speculative in nature, may not come to pass and are not intended to predict the future performance of any specific strategy or product the Firm offers. Future results may differ significantly depending on factors such as changes in securities or financial markets or general economic conditions.

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FAQs

Are REITs a good investment 2022? ›

These REITs offer upside in a tough market.

This creates a guarantee for big dividends, and a bit more reliability for shareholders than smaller or growth-oriented names that don't generate material profits. REITs are incredibly attractive to many investors in 2022 because of these factors.

Are REITs a good buy now? ›

REITs are a good investment for any portfolio

REITs have historically produced solid returns. They also provide investors several other benefits, like dividend income and diversification. Because of that, they're a good addition to any investor's portfolio.

Which REIT to buy now? ›

These are the 10 best Singapore REITs to buy in 2022:
  • Ascendas REIT.
  • CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust.
  • Frasers Centrepoint Trust.
  • Parkway Life REIT.
  • Elite Commercial REIT.
  • Lendlease REIT.
  • Daiwa House Logistics Trust.
  • Digital Core REIT.
20 Jun 2022

How much should a REIT be in a portfolio? ›

REIT allocations range from 15.3% of the portfolio for a young worker with 40 years to retirement to over 10% for an investor near retirement age. The REIT allocation declines along with other equities throughout retirement but remains over 6% for an investor nearly 10 years into retirement.

Do REITs do well when interest rates rise? ›

While rising interest rates have caused REIT stocks to meaningfully underperform during certain periods of time, it's also important to remember that higher rates are often a signal of investors' expectations for stronger economic growth in the future.

What happens to REITs when interest rates go up? ›

During periods of economic growth, REIT prices tend to rise along with interest rates. The reason is that a growing economy increases the value of REITs because the value of their underlying real estate assets increases.

What is the 2% rule in real estate? ›

The 2% rule states that the monthly rent for an investment property should be equal to or no less than 2% of the purchase price. Here's an example of the 2% rule for a home with the purchase price of $150,000: $150,000 x 0.02 = $3,000.

What is the best performing REIT? ›

Best-performing REIT stocks: September 2022
SymbolCompanyREIT performance (1-year total return)
BRGBluerock Residential Growth REIT, Inc.149.2%
FREVSFirst Real Estate Investment Trust of New Jersey, Inc.39%
LTCLTC Properties, Inc.36.3%
CTOCTO Realty Growth, Inc.19.2%
1 more row

Are REITs good during stock market crash? ›

REITS—Real Estate Investment Trusts

If you're interested in investing in real estate but need a degree of liquidity, check out real estate investment trusts (REITs). Because they invest in real estate, REIT performance may be less correlated to the stock market, making them a good hedge against crashes.

Are REITs good during inflation? ›

REITs provide natural protection against inflation. Real estate rents and values tend to increase when prices do. This supports REIT dividend growth and provides a reliable stream of income even during inflationary periods.

What type of REIT is the safest? ›

However, some REITs are in such strong positions that they should have no trouble sustaining their dividend even during the deepest industry downturn. Three of the safest dividends in the REIT sector are those paid by Camden Property Trust (NYSE: CPT), Prologis (NYSE: PLD), and Realty Income (NYSE: O).

Are REITs better than rental property? ›

REIT Pros. Perhaps the biggest advantage of buying REIT shares rather than rental properties is simplicity. REIT investing allows for sharing in value appreciation and rental income without being involved in the hassle of actually buying, managing and selling property. Diversification is another benefit.

What is the average return on a REIT? ›

These REITs also outperformed the market over the last 10 years (16.7% vs. 14.2% for the S&P 500).
...
What REIT subsectors have done the best at outperforming stocks?
REIT subgroupAverage annual total return (1994-2019)
Residential13.7%
Diversified9.8%
7 more rows

How much REIT should I have in my retirement portfolio? ›

In general, a good rule of thumb is that REITs should not make up more than 25% of a well-diversified dividend stock portfolio, depending on your individual goals (such as what portfolio yield and long-term dividend growth rate you're targeting, and how much volatility you can stomach).

What percentage of a portfolio should be in real estate? ›

If you're looking for a rule of thumb, adding 5% to 10% to your portfolio is a reasonable range. However, the best approach is to discuss with your financial advisor how adding real estate would best advance your goals. Many experts agree that adding real estate to your portfolio is a good idea.

Why are REITs doing poorly? ›

Most of them are running away from REITs because of one main reason: they fear that rising interest rates will cause REITs to underperform going forward.

What are the disadvantages of REITs? ›

Disadvantages of REITs
  • Weak Growth. Publicly traded REITs must pay out 90% of their profits immediately to investors in the form of dividends. ...
  • No Control Over Returns or Performance. Direct real estate investors have a great deal of control over their returns. ...
  • Yield Taxed as Regular Income. ...
  • Potential for High Risk and Fees.
22 Nov 2021

Why are REITs performing well? ›

REITs historically have delivered competitive total returns, based on high, steady dividend income and long-term capital appreciation. Their comparatively low correlation with other assets also makes them an excellent portfolio diversifier that can help reduce overall portfolio risk and increase returns.

Are low interest rates good for REITs? ›

Low rates may indeed increase the attractiveness of REITs, which may be better able to find bargains in financing purchases, construction, and refinancing. REIT dividends may potentially be attractive to investors seeking returns in a low interest rate environment as well.

Why are REIT dividends so high? ›

REITs are able to pay high dividends because they're required to pay 90% of their taxable income to shareholders. However, that taxable income doesn't include tax deductions like depreciation. That gives them some room to keep cash on hand.

What is the 100x rule in real estate? ›

Real Estate Investors: Pay No More Than 100x the Monthly Rent for a Rental. If you're going to invest in rental real estate, follow this one rule so you'll actually make money. Pay no more, including repairs, than 100x the potential monthly rent. So, if you think you can rent a place for $1,000 a month.

What is the 50% rule in real estate investing? ›

The 50% rule in real estate says that investors should expect a property's operating expenses to be roughly 50% of its gross income. This is useful for estimating potential cash flow from a rental property, but it's not always foolproof.

Is 2022 a good time to buy rental property? ›

If you've been looking for ways to make a passive income and diversify your investments, 2022 may be an excellent time to consider buying an investment property.

What Vanguard funds does Warren Buffett recommend? ›

Buffett revealed that his will stipulates that 90% of the money should be invested in a low-cost S&P 500 index fund with 10% in short-term government bonds. He suggested Vanguard, which operates the Vanguard 500 Index Fund ETF (VOO 1.93%).

How safe are REITs? ›

Most investors view a real estate investment trust, or REIT, as a safe investment. These companies typically generate stable rental income, enabling them to pay out attractive dividends.

Are REITs good for income? ›

Investing in real estate investment trusts (REITs) can provide high dividend yields, steadily growing income, and exposure to many types of real estate without the headaches that come from owning rental property directly.

How are REITs doing in 2022? ›

The REIT sector has achieved gains in only 2 of the first 7 months of 2022, including a +9.74% total return in July. Small cap (+11.68%) and mid cap (+9.09%) REITs had the greatest total returns, while large caps (+8.72%) and micro caps (+6.73%) saw more modest gains in July.

What are some downsides to REITs? ›

REITs also have some drawbacks, including:
  • Sensitive to Demand for Other High-Yield Assets. Generally, rising interest rates could make Treasury securities more attractive, drawing funds away from REITs and lowering their share prices.
  • Property Taxes. ...
  • Tax Rates.

Are REITs better than rental property? ›

REIT Pros. Perhaps the biggest advantage of buying REIT shares rather than rental properties is simplicity. REIT investing allows for sharing in value appreciation and rental income without being involved in the hassle of actually buying, managing and selling property. Diversification is another benefit.

Are REITs good during inflation? ›

REITs provide natural protection against inflation. Real estate rents and values tend to increase when prices do. This supports REIT dividend growth and provides a reliable stream of income even during inflationary periods.

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